Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.591174 0.652555 0.720518 0.801912 0.897495 1.007127 1.143778
2024-12-22 0.473442 0.557330 0.659787 0.796892 0.980060 1.223441 1.584671
2024-12-29 0.411974 0.510239 0.640229 0.831744 1.120294 1.565570 2.371534
2025-01-05 0.352445 0.451784 0.590678 0.810178 1.173210 1.808353 3.193489
2025-01-12 0.301456 0.395372 0.531700 0.758013 1.158843 1.932530 3.915116
2025-01-19 0.263434 0.351556 0.483210 0.710401 1.135920 2.029637 4.694692
2025-01-26 0.246820 0.336620 0.475764 0.728297 1.238337 2.447010 7.039652
2025-02-02 0.240069 0.335388 0.489260 0.785344 1.440781 3.261095 13.373188
2025-02-09 0.226315 0.321292 0.478924 0.794846 1.542481 3.895428 22.823695
2025-02-16 0.209113 0.299788 0.452863 0.767572 1.545130 4.210981 33.363560
2025-02-23 0.198630 0.288339 0.443140 0.772200 1.633811 4.971910 68.637143
2025-03-02 0.189442 0.278170 0.434413 0.777149 1.726703 5.905740 191.893783
2025-03-09 0.180789 0.268873 0.427552 0.788395 1.857325 7.399715 2743.140039
2025-03-16 0.169822 0.254873 0.410617 0.774253 1.907441 8.631628 NaN
2025-03-23 0.164272 0.250032 0.411131 0.803353 2.132055 12.228014 NaN
2025-03-30 0.154408 0.236583 0.392829 0.781026 2.152324 14.115523 NaN
2025-04-06 0.143017 0.219565 0.365644 0.730812 2.037462 13.957463 NaN
2025-04-13 0.133031 0.204558 0.341453 0.685349 1.928720 13.697455 NaN
2025-04-20 0.129274 0.200813 0.340321 0.702189 2.104177 19.434497 NaN
2025-04-27 0.128620 0.202782 0.351453 0.756151 2.505457 39.038894 NaN
2025-05-04 0.124610 0.198030 0.347429 0.765110 2.689010 62.112352 NaN
2025-05-11 0.118551 0.188931 0.332907 0.739292 2.655359 72.605779 NaN
2025-05-18 0.114935 0.184384 0.328243 0.743666 2.817011 125.504451 NaN